Growth Teams

“Growth Teams” in Government

Impact score: 23

Location: Africa, India, developing nations globally

Focus: Economic stagnation/slow growth

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Growth Teams - Fierce Philanthropy Research Report

Date: March 21, 2026 Methodology: Todd Manwaring's Social Impact Evaluation Framework Organization: Growth Teams


PROMPT 1 -- Organization and Social Problem Summary

  1. Social Problem: Economic stagnation/slow growth
  2. Population: Developing country governments
  3. Location: Africa, India, developing nations globally

PROMPT 2 -- Top 20 Negative Consequences

# Negative Consequence
1 High unemployment rates
2 Limited quality job creation
3 Low wages and income inequality
4 Poor firm productivity and competitiveness
5 Inadequate export diversification
6 Weak industrial capacity
7 Limited foreign direct investment
8 Poor policy implementation capacity
9 Lack of economic diversification
10 Low government revenue generation
11 Limited access to global markets
12 Insufficient private sector growth
13 Poor business environment
14 Weak institutional effectiveness
15 Limited structural transformation
16 Persistent poverty rates
17 Brain drain and talent loss
18 Economic vulnerability to shocks
19 Low living standards
20 Reduced human capital development

PROMPT 3 -- Intermediary vs Ultimate Outcome Classification

# Negative Consequence Classification
8 Poor policy implementation capacity Intermediary
13 Poor business environment Intermediary
14 Weak institutional effectiveness Intermediary
4 Poor firm productivity and competitiveness Intermediary
11 Limited access to global markets Intermediary
1 High unemployment rates Ultimate
2 Limited quality job creation Ultimate
3 Low wages and income inequality Ultimate
5 Inadequate export diversification Ultimate
6 Weak industrial capacity Ultimate
7 Limited foreign direct investment Ultimate
9 Lack of economic diversification Ultimate
10 Low government revenue generation Ultimate
12 Insufficient private sector growth Ultimate
15 Limited structural transformation Ultimate
16 Persistent poverty rates Ultimate
17 Brain drain and talent loss Ultimate
18 Economic vulnerability to shocks Ultimate
19 Low living standards Ultimate
20 Reduced human capital development Ultimate

PROMPT 4 -- Positive Results Shared by Organization

# Negative Consequence Classification Organization Results
8 Poor policy implementation capacity Intermediary Yes - Rwanda GBS sector development
13 Poor business environment Intermediary Yes - Rwanda investment facilitation
14 Weak institutional effectiveness Intermediary Yes - Government coaching approach
4 Poor firm productivity and competitiveness Intermediary Yes - Export Boom Atlas case studies
11 Limited access to global markets Intermediary Yes - Export diversification work
1 High unemployment rates Ultimate No direct measurement shared
2 Limited quality job creation Ultimate Yes - 1,500 jobs in Rwanda GBS sector
3 Low wages and income inequality Ultimate No direct measurement shared
5 Inadequate export diversification Ultimate Yes - Export Boom Atlas findings
6 Weak industrial capacity Ultimate No direct measurement shared
7 Limited foreign direct investment Ultimate Yes - Rwanda attracted new GBS firms
9 Lack of economic diversification Ultimate No direct measurement shared
10 Low government revenue generation Ultimate No direct measurement shared
12 Insufficient private sector growth Ultimate No direct measurement shared
15 Limited structural transformation Ultimate No direct measurement shared
16 Persistent poverty rates Ultimate No direct measurement shared
17 Brain drain and talent loss Ultimate No direct measurement shared
18 Economic vulnerability to shocks Ultimate No direct measurement shared
19 Low living standards Ultimate No direct measurement shared
20 Reduced human capital development Ultimate No direct measurement shared

PROMPT 5 -- Counterfactual Results

# Negative Consequence Classification Organization Results Counterfactual Results
8 Poor policy implementation capacity Intermediary Yes - Rwanda GBS sector development No
13 Poor business environment Intermediary Yes - Rwanda investment facilitation No
14 Weak institutional effectiveness Intermediary Yes - Government coaching approach No
4 Poor firm productivity and competitiveness Intermediary Yes - Export Boom Atlas case studies No
11 Limited access to global markets Intermediary Yes - Export diversification work No
1 High unemployment rates Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
2 Limited quality job creation Ultimate Yes - 1,500 jobs in Rwanda GBS sector No
3 Low wages and income inequality Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
5 Inadequate export diversification Ultimate Yes - Export Boom Atlas findings No
6 Weak industrial capacity Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
7 Limited foreign direct investment Ultimate Yes - Rwanda attracted new GBS firms No
9 Lack of economic diversification Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
10 Low government revenue generation Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
12 Insufficient private sector growth Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
15 Limited structural transformation Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
16 Persistent poverty rates Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
17 Brain drain and talent loss Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
18 Economic vulnerability to shocks Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
19 Low living standards Ultimate No direct measurement shared No
20 Reduced human capital development Ultimate No direct measurement shared No

SUMMARY REPORT

Section 1 -- Our Recommendation

Growth Teams demonstrates strong understanding of economic growth challenges and has developed an innovative government coaching approach. However, their impact measurement lacks the rigor expected for evidence-based social impact work. While they show promising initial results in Rwanda and have created valuable research through the Export Boom Atlas, the organization has significant gaps in measuring counterfactual outcomes and lacks systematic impact evaluation protocols.

  • a. Understands the Social Issue
  • b. Has Intermediate Outcome Goals
  • c. Has Ultimate Outcome Goals
  • d. Measures these Intermediate & Ultimate Outcomes
  • e. Measures Intermediate Counterfactuals
  • f. Measures Ultimate Counterfactuals
  • g. Evidence of Continual Learning & Adaptation

Section 2 -- The Social Problem

Growth Teams addresses a critical issue: too many developing countries have had slow or negative progress in their ability to successfully implement policies over the last few decades. When governments are not able to implement pro-growth policies then higher-income jobs will always be few and far between.

More than 90% of countries have experienced slow or negative growth in their state capability in the past 25 years.

This represents a fundamental challenge to economic development and poverty reduction globally.

Section 3 -- The Solution

Growth Teams helps developing country governments to problem solve for economic growth through structural transformation. They coach governments to solve problems that hold back firms, and as a result generate good jobs where people get richer. They help governments focus on the right, high-potential industries, identify the biggest barriers that hold back firms in those industries, and then take the right actions to unlock those constraints to economic growth.

Rather than producing externally-driven reports that collect dust on shelves, Growth Teams works side-by-side with government leaders and staff to take action on growth constraints.

Section 4 -- Key Outputs

Growth Teams Inc's revenue in 2022 was $356,898.

There is 1 employee and 1 volunteer at Growth Teams Inc.

The organization has created the Export Boom Atlas,

a new project that identifies, maps, and profiles major export booms in low and middle income countries since 1995, documenting 80+ cases.

Their work now spans places like Rwanda and Tanzania, and they recently co-hosted the Growth Summit with the Center for Global Development.

Section 5 -- Key Intermediate Outcomes

Growth Teams reports success in improving government policy implementation capacity in Rwanda.

A first step was to translate the strategic thinking – identifying GBS as a priority sector – into tangible actions to be taken. The RDB team researched the country's competitiveness in the sector, comparing costs across alternative sourcing countries. The result was a compelling articulation for why a GBS firm might consider setting up in Rwanda. The team at RDB identified criteria to filter the universe of GBS firms, built an investor pipeline of 80+ prospective investors, and facilitated country visits for interested players.

However, no counterfactual measurement was found to validate what would have happened without Growth Teams' intervention.

Section 6 -- Key Ultimate Outcomes

The primary concrete result shared is job creation in Rwanda's GBS sector.

Today, over 15 GBS firms, employing roughly 1,500 Rwandans in good formal jobs, are providing a range of business process outsourcing (BPO) and IT outsourcing (ITO) services to global markets.

Working side-by-side with Growth Teams, RDB has attracted two new global GBS firms to set up operations in Rwanda this year itself (with several more expected soon), helping to create 6,000 good jobs in the GBS sector by 2025.

However, these results lack counterfactual analysis to determine Growth Teams' specific contribution versus other factors.

Section 7 -- Continual Learning & Adaptation

Limited evidence was found of systematic learning and adaptation based on data. The organization has created research products like the Export Boom Atlas and has academic backgrounds in impact evaluation, but there is no evidence of formal feedback loops or systematic measurement systems that inform program improvements. The founders have backgrounds with RCT methodology but appear not to be applying rigorous evaluation methods to their own interventions.


Report prepared using Todd Manwaring's Social Impact Evaluation Framework for Fierce Philanthropy.

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Written by

Todd Manwaring